Participation of the CCEW at ML4EO 2026 The Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) was represented at the Machine Learning for Earth Observation (ML4EO) Conference 2026, held from 22–24 June at the University of Exeter, United Kingdom.
End of a Hegemony: Russia's waning influence in the South Caucasus and new regional powers Shifting power dynamics in the South Caucasus after the end of Russian dominance.
Between Tactical Success and Strategic Failure: Rethinking Effectiveness in Counterterrorism and Counterinsurgency The latest working paper in the CISS Munich Series examines the challenges of evaluating the effectiveness of counterterrorism and counterinsurgency strategies.
Reminder: Registration for Online-Workshop "Masculinities, Militaries, Violence and Wars since 1945" is still open! The workshop will be taking place on June 25th and June 26th, make sure to register by June 15th to ensure your place!
Call for Papers for the CCEW Symposium 2026 Please submit contributions to the CCEW Symposium on "Conflict Early Warning in Times of Power Competition – Limits and Challenges –"
Call for Papers for the Annual Conference of the Critical Security Studies Thematic Group! The annual conference of the DVPW Thematic Group will take place on November 5–6 in Heidelberg. Submit your proposal now!
Visualizing Hybrid Threat Dynamics: An Exploratory Analysis of Cyber Incidents and Physical Conflict Events The new working paper in the CISS Munich Series, by Clara-Gabriela Clipea, explores the relationship between cyber operations and hybrid threats, and their impact on patterns of political violence.
Russia’s influence in the Western Balkans: Long shadow, short lever The new working paper from the CISS Munich Series by Bojan Laganin discusses the scope and limits of Russian influence in Southeast Europe.
What Remains of the COVID-19 Protests for Intelligence Agencies in Europe – and How This Affects the Balance Between Security and Freedom How intelligence agencies in the European Union are dealing with new protest movements
The role of theory in conflict prediction The latest working paper in the CISS Munich Series, authored by Daniel Mittermaier, examines the link between theory and practice in early crisis warning.
Five Strategic Levers for Germany’s Defense Materiel Readiness The new working paper in the CISS Munich Series by Robert Helbig discusses how capability development can be made more efficient.
CCEW Symposium 2026 The Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) is thrilled to announce the Save the Date for the CCEW Symposium 2026 scheduled for October 13 to 14, 2026.
Listening to the Digital Pulse of Dissent: How Online Activity Can Help Predict Protest and Conflict The recently published working paper by Christian Oswald in the CISS Munich Series provides an overview of the potential use of digital trace data for predicting political instability.
Team Day and Kick-off at Lake Starnberg At the beginning of the year, our team came together in Tutzing on Lake Starnberg to reflect on the months ahead and discuss key topics for our upcoming work.
"Leaving on a High Note?” – The Impact of Exits of International Peacekeeping Missions The new Working Paper of the CISS Munich Series written by Lena Runge gives research insights on the exits of international peacekeeping missions.
Visit of Deputy Commander and Chief of Staff of the Bundeswehr Centre for Digitalisation and Cyber and Information Domain Capability Development On 5 February 2026, the Deputy Commander and Chief of Staff of the Bundeswehr Centre for Digitalisation and Cyber and Information Domain Capability Development (ZDigBw), Colonel Fahl, visited the Centre for Intelligence and Security Studies (CISS).
Uninterrupted payment transactions are relevant to security Why payment transactions must be considered part of critical infrastructure
AI in Political Science Education: A Radical Rethink Is Needed! Guest article on AI and teaching by Elvira Rosert, Frank Sauer and Eva Herschinger published in newspaper taz
Publication of the research paper: “Creating and Validating a Corpus and Dataset of Government-Issued Travel Advisories From the Internet Archives” The research paper by Laura Braun und Christian Oswald (CCEW) “Creating and Validating a Corpus and Dataset of Government-Issued Travel Advisories From the Internet Archives” has been published.
CISS supports Intelligence College Europe (ICE) CISS continues to support the Intelligence College Europe (ICE) through various courses offered from the portfolio of the Master of Intelligence and Security Studies (MISS).
Out Now: Paper on what we know about the role of gender in radicalization processes Eva Herschinger co-authored a working paper on the state of research on the significance of gender for terrorism and radicalization
Islamist terrorism remains a global threat beyond 2025 In a new Metis-Study Eva Herschinger describes four scenarios on potential developments of Islamist Terrorism in the near future.
Participation in the GESIS International Expert Workshop on Earth Observation Data in the Social Sciences From November 26 to 28, the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated in the GESIS International Expert Workshop on Earth Observation Data in the Social Sciences in Cologne.
New working paper published in the CISS Munich series The new working paper, “Wargaming: Das ist kein Spiel!” [Wargaming: "It's Not a Game!"] by Christian Nitzl, has been published.
DEFENSEFOOD: New Horizon Europe initiative launches to strengthen the EU food systems Eva Herschinger is partner in the project on food threats.
Publication of the Symposium 2025 Report The Symposium 2025 was a two-day event under the theme of “The Potential of Data, AI & Interdisciplinary Analysis in Situational Awareness and Decision Making”, taking place in September 2025. This report summarizes the Symposium 2025.
New working paper published in the CISS Munich series A new working paper on “Cyber Threats and Crisis Early Warning” by Stephanie Riedl and Lena Runge is now available.
New working paper published in the CISS Munich series A new working paper on “Urban Warfare in Gaza: Alles wie erwartet?” [Urban Warfare in Gaza: Business as Usual?] by Julian Werner is now available.
Publication of the research paper: “Listening to the wind of change: Predicting protest dynamics in autocracies using Wikipedia page changes” The research paper by Christian Oswald (CCEW) “Listening to the wind of change: Predicting protest dynamics in autocracies using Wikipedia page changes” has been published.
Business Wargaming in the Financial Sector – Article Contribution in ReThinking Finance In their recent publication in ReThinking: Finance, Sascha Geißler, Aline Werro, and Christian Nitzl (all CISS) analyze the potential of wargaming as a strategic management tool and demonstrate how this method can also provide significant value in the financial sector.
