News

Participation in the GESIS International Expert Workshop on Earth Observation Data in the Social Sciences

From November 26 to 28, the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated in the GESIS International Expert Workshop on Earth Observation Data in the Social Sciences in Cologne.

Publication of the Symposium 2025 Report

The Symposium 2025 was a two-day event under the theme of “The Potential of Data, AI & Interdisciplinary Analysis in Situational Awareness and Decision Making”, taking place in September 2025. This report summarizes the Symposium 2025.

Publication of the research paper: “Listening to the wind of change: Predicting protest dynamics in autocracies using Wikipedia page changes”

The research paper by Christian Oswald (CCEW) “Listening to the wind of change: Predicting protest dynamics in autocracies using Wikipedia page changes” has been published.

Participation at the AFK Methods Workshop

From September 29 to 30, the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated at the AFK Methods Workshop in Frankfurt (Main).

This Year’s Symposium at the German Federal Foreign Office in Berlin

Together with the German Federal Foreign Office, the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) at the University of the Bundeswehr Munich (UniBw M) organized the fifth Symposium on Crisis Early Warning on 17–18 September in Berlin. Under the theme “The Potential of Data, AI, and Interdisciplinary Analysis in Situational Awareness and Decision Making,” the event once again brought together representatives from academia, policy, and practice.

Publication of the research paper: „TRAVELWARN-Crawler: Constructing longitudinal datasets of government-issued travel warnings for political and social science research”

The research paper by Laura Braun and Christian Oswald (CCEW) ‘TRAVELWARN Crawler: Building Longitudinal Datasets of Government Travel Warnings for Political and Social Science Research’ has been published.

Participation at the IC2S2 2025 in Norrköping, Sweden

From July 21 to 24, the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated at the International Conference for Computational Social Science (IC2S2) in Norrköping, Sweden.

Guest lecture by CCEW at the Marburg University

On July 2, 2025, Lena Runge (CCEW) delivered a guest lecture in the seminar ‘Methods of Conflict Analysis’ of the master's program in Peace and Conflict Studies at the Center for Conflict Studies at Marburg University.

Participation of the CCEW in the workshop ‘Foresight on US-China-EU Power Rivalries’

On June 24 and 25, 2025 the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated in the workshop ‘Foresight on US-China-EU Power Rivalries’ at the LMU in Munich.

Publication of the CCEW Symposium 2024 Report

The CCEW Symposium 2024 was a two-day event under the theme of “Predictive Synergies: Crisis Early Warning & Foresight”, taking place in September 2024. This report summarizes the CCEW Symposium 2024.

Publication of the Data Processing behind the Climate-Conflict-Vulnerability Index

After more than two years of development, the data processing behind the Climate-Conflict-Vulnerability Index (CCVI) is now published as open-source code.

Publication of a paper

Extracting additional information from event data with large language models

Participation in the German Data Science Days 2025

From February 27 to 28, the Center for Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated in the German Data Science Days 2025.

Participation in the "Conflict & Change" PhD Workshop at University College London (UCL)

From February 24 to 25, the Center for Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated in the "Conflict & Change" PhD Workshop in London.

Participation in the UniBW AI Retreat 2024

From December 10 to 12, the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated in the UniBw AI Retreat 2024 in Garmisch-Patenkirchen.

Participation in the Second Workshop for PhD Candidates in Peace and Conflict Studies in Bavaria

From October 28 to 30, the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated in the workshop for PhD candidates in Peace and Conflict Studies in Bavaria

CCEW co-develops the Climate-Conflict-Vulnerability Index

An interdisciplinary research project has developed the Climate-Conflict-Vulnerability Index (CCVI). The CCVI maps current global risks from climate and conflict hazards and relevant vulnerability factors, offering up-to-date, quarterly data at subnational levels. The first version will be released on October 8, 2024, at the Berlin Climate Security Conference (BCSC).

CCEW Symposium 2024

The CCEW Symposium 2024, titled ‘Predictive Synergies: Crisis Early Warning & Foresight’ took place from September 19 to 20.

Participation in the Methodology Workshop on Analysing the Future

From September 10 to 13, the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated in the Methodology Workshop on Analysing the Future.

Focus on Interactive Sessions

Participation in the Emerging Scholar Workshop on De Facto States

From April 11 to 12, the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated at the Emerging Scholar Workshop on De Facto States.

Participation in the "Conflict & Change" PhD Workshop in London (UCL)

From March 11 to 12, the Center for Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated in the "Conflict & Change" PhD Workshop in London.

Participation at the PaCE Conflict Forecasting Workshop in Dublin

From March 7 to 8, the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated at the PaCE Conflict Forecasting Workshop in Dublin.

Visit from the Austrian Ministry of Defense to the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW)

On February 27th, the CCEW welcomed visitors from Austria.

Visit by State Minister Dr. Florian Herrmann to the Center for Crisis Early Warning

On February 9, State Minister Dr. Florian Herrmann visited the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW).

Visit by Member of Parliament Serap Güler to the Center for Crisis Early Warning

On February 7, Member of Parliament Serap Güler visited the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW).

Participation in the Methodology Workshop on Analysing the Future

From November 20 to 24, the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) participated in a training course on the methodology of future analysis.

Participation at the PRIO's AI Days in Oslo

On October 25 to 26, the Center for Early Crisis Warning (CCEW) participated at the PRIO's AI Days in Oslo.

CCEW Symposium 2023

The CCEW Symposium 2023, titled 'Crisis Early Warning: What's Next,' took place from October 23 to 24.

Participation at the VIEWS Prediction Challenge

On October 10 to 11, the Center for Early Crisis Warning (CCEW) participated in the second installment of the VIEWS Prediction Challenge.