Predictive Synergies: Crisis Early Warning & Foresight

We are pleased to announce the CCEW Symposium 2024. The fourth annual event, which will take place on September 19 to 20, is organized by the Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) at the University of the Bundeswehr Munich.

The CCEW Symposium has three aims:

  1.  Strengthening interdisciplinary research to enhance predictive capabilities;

  2. Fostering data-driven strategies for crisis early warning and strategic foresight within conflict research;

  3. Establishing a collaborative space for academia, practitioners, and decision-makers.

This year's event will feature panel discussions on day 1 and three parallel interactive sessions on day 2. Day 2 will blend live coding with qualitative assessments, letting participants apply their methods and techniques to predefined scenarios.

Call for Papers

We invite empirical, conceptual and theoretical papers from scholars at all career stages that focus on addressing the following topics:

  • Data-driven methodologies to predict conflict and instability;
  • Innovative use of data sources in conflict research;
  • The use of unstructured data, for example, "text as data" and satellite data;
  • Applying strategic foresight techniques in risk assessment and conflict prevention.

Please submit your abstract (max. 300 words), including the authors' names, university affiliation/research institution and short biography of max. 100 words by June 17, 2024, here: Abstract submission

We will communicate the decision on the accepted contributions by July 08, 2024, at the latest.

The registration (deadline: September 02, 2024) and information regarding the participation fee can be found here: Registration

We are looking forward to your submissions.

Preliminary Schedule

Thursday, September 19:

  • Panel Sessions: 1.30 pm - 7 pm

  • Social Event: 7 pm - 9.30 pm


Friday, September 20:

  • Interactive Sessions: 9 am - 3 pm


All times are CET.

The Center

The CCEW is jointly funded by Germany’s Federal Ministry of Defence (MoD) and the Federal Foreign Office (FFO).

The CCEW seeks to develop innovative conceptual approaches and methods to improve crisis early warning systems.

The main tasks of the CCEW are:

  • Conducting quantitative crisis and conflict research using innovative conceptual and methodological approaches (predictive analytics); and
  • Helping the above federal ministries to predict and assess crises and conflicts to take appropriate preventive measures.

The research output of the CCEW benefits the digital crisis early warning systems used by MoD and FFO.


The CCEW Symposium 2024 will be held in person at the University of the Bundeswehr Munich in Neubiberg, Germany.

The event language is English.


Universität der Bundeswehr München

Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW) | Kompetenzzentrum Krisenfrüherkennung ( KompZ KFE)
Werner-Heisenberg-Weg 39
85577 Neubiberg