The preliminary program for the Symposium on Crisis Early Warning
Please download the preliminary program as a PDF.
Wednesday 17.09.
08:15 – 09:00 Registration & Coffee
09:00 – 09:45 Welcome & Keynotes
State Minister Florian Hahn, Federal Foreign Office
State Secretary Nils Hilmer, Federal Ministry of Defence
Prof. Carlo Masala, Head, Center for Crisis Early Warning
09:45 VIP Policy Panel: “Crisis Early Warning in times of perpetual crises – still worth it?”
Chair: Prof. Carlo Masala, Head, Center for Crisis Early Warning
Philipp Rotmann, Director, Global Public Policy Institute
Anka Feldhusen, Director for Civilian Crisis Prevention and Stabilization, FFO
followed by Coffee Break
11:00 – 12:30 Research Panel I: “Leveraging Large Language Models in Crisis Early Warning”
Chair: Dr. Hannes Müller, Autonomous University Barcelona
Dr. Edoardo Vigano, Witten/Herdecke University
Dr. Egemen Bezci, University for Continuing Education Krems
Laura Braun, Center for Crisis Early Warning
12:30 – 13:30 Lunch
13:30 – 15:00 Research Panel II: “Advancing Methodological Approaches in Crisis Early Warning”
Chair: Dr. Paola Vesco, Uppsala University
Prof. Thomas Chadefaux, Trinity College Dublin
Chandler Williams, Peace Research Institute Oslo
BND Desk Officer
15:00 – 16:15 Workshops (parallel)
Session 1: Worst cases or likely cases? – The Integration of Foresight Methodologies and Data driven Early Warning
Session 2: Hybrid Threats – State-Targeted Cyber Attacks as Digital Smoke Before Escalation?
Session 3: Data driven Anticipatory Action
16:15 – 16:45 Coffee Break
16:45 – 17:45 Policy Panel I: “How to warn? – lessons and best practices”
Chair: Isabelle Arradon, International Crisis Group
Andreas Pérez Fransius, European External Action Service
Minako Manome, Development Risk Practice Unit, UNDP
Dr. Philip AbdelMalik, Hub for Pandemic and Epidemic Intelligence, WHO
17:45 – 19:00 Canapés & Fingerfood (Genscher Forum)
Thursday 18.09.
08:15 – 09:00 Check-in & Coffee
09:00 – 09:15 Welcome
09:15 – 10:45 Research Panel III: “Conflict Onset and Civil War Recurrence in Crisis Early Warning”
Chair: Dr. Nadine O’Shea, Technical University of Munich
Lotta Rüter, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Hannah Frank, Trinity College Dublin
Dr. Namig Abbasov, Arizona State University
10:45 – 11:00 Coffee Break
11:00 – 12:15 Workshops (parallel)
Session 4: Central Risk Factors in Early Warning
Session 5: Think Like an Adversary – A Practical Exploration of the Disruptive Potential of AI
Session 6: Pimp My Dataset – Enhancing Existing Event Datasets with Large Language Models
12:15 – 12:30 Plenary Workshop Recap
12:30 – 13:30 Lunch
13:30 – 14:15 Policy Panel II: “Global Commons or national silos? Informed decisions through common datasets”
Chair: Anka Feldhusen, Dir. for Civilian Crisis Prevention and Stabilization, FFO Dr. Martin Frick, World Food Program
Prof. Clionadh Raleigh, Armed Conflict Location & Event Data
Dr. Barbora Šedová, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
14:15 – 15:45 Research Panel IV: “Exploring New Data in Crisis Early Warning”
Chair: Prof. Melanie Sauter, Universität Mannheim
Christoph Deppe, Helmut Schmidt University
Dr. Allison Koh, University of Birmingham
Dr. Anne Schneibel, German Aerospace Center
15:45 – 16:00 Closing Remarks: Anka Feldhusen, Federal Foreign Office